{"id":7646,"date":"2018-09-26T17:34:00","date_gmt":"2018-09-27T00:34:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/?p=7646"},"modified":"2019-10-09T12:30:10","modified_gmt":"2019-10-09T19:30:10","slug":"the-citation-cascade-fatal-problem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/?p=7646","title":{"rendered":"The Citation Cascade Fatal Problem"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>You can either accept what reporters say without question, or you can look more deeply into what they say to see if it all lines up in a nice straight problem-free line, or if it ultimately takes on the unavoidable appearance of being an agenda-driven narrative based on disingenuous false premises. The following illustrates how this kind of examination works, on an article which purports to be a criticism of another article but actually turns out to be complementary to it in a rather suspicious way.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The same day that the <em>New York Times Magazine<\/em> published its epic 8\/1\/18 \u201cLosing Earth: The Decade We Almost Stopped Climate Change\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?q=%22Losing+Earth%3A+The+Decade+We+Almost+Stopped+Climate+Change%22\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">article<\/a>, Robinson Meyer at <em>The Atlantic<\/em> responded with his own piece, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/science\/archive\/2018\/08\/nyt-mag-nathaniel-rich-climate-change\/566525\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Problem With The New York Times\u2019 Big Story on Climate Change<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s the problem? Essentially, Meyer <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Atlantic-climate-oppo.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">concludes<\/a>,<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u2026 any sensible narrative of climate politics has to start and finish with the idea that opposition to climate policy grew in parallel with the scientific case for action. Telling the wrong story makes the case for action look easier than it is.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Carefully sift through Meyer\u2019s piece, and it becomes obvious that his gripe about the <em>NYT<\/em> writer is that the fellow implied global warming was a problem having widespread agreement about the need to solve it, up until the early 1990s when the fossil fuel industry decided to turn its back on what it supposedly &#8216;<a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Atlantic-Exx-knew.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">knew<\/a>\u2019 (actually, Exxon demonstratively <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/ExxUncertjpg.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">did not know<\/a>, but that\u2019s another story). Meyer attempts to shoot down this \u2018late arrival\u2019 of opposition to the certainty of man-caused global warming with <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Atlantic-Brulle.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">this bit of name-dropping<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Robert Brulle, a sociologist at Drexel University who studies environmental policy, noted that Rich\u2019s story did not mention that \u201cclimate-science denial efforts\u201d <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">began in 1982, with the publication of Sherwood Idso<\/span>\u2019s Carbon Dioxide, Friend or Foe.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Sherwood who? This <em>Atlantic<\/em> article is not\u00a0a lightweight piece aimed at superficial readers, it assumes they have some intellectual curiosity \u2014 but not <em>too<\/em> much \u2014 and that they might wonder at a minimum who Sherwood Idso is. Drop his name into an internet search and what are the top results? The <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/GoogSherwood.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">top three<\/a> will take searchers straight into <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DesmogSherwood.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">an unmistakable narrative<\/a>: he\u2019s a \u2018<a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/ExxSecretsSherwood.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">paid shill of the fossil fuel industry<\/a>.\u2019 The #1 Wikipedia result is just <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/WikiSherwood.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a bit subtle<\/a> about the effort, but it still <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/MJonesSherwood.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">gets the job done<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>So, there you are, end of story. This <em>Atlantic<\/em> really ends up looking less like a criticism and more like an effort to hammer home the notion that the evil fossil fuel industry sought to beat down the settled science of man-caused global warming ever since this concern first popped up.<\/p>\n<p>But let\u2019s take a step back: plop the combined names of Robert Brulle and Sherwood Idso into an internet search and one of the more recent results is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC3787818\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a 2013 sociology paper<\/a> by <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DunlapJaques13.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Riley Dunlap and Peter Jacques<\/a> which mentions Dr Idso\u2019s &#8220;Friend or Foe&#8221; book <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DunlapJaques13-Sherwood.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">and its publication date<\/a>, while <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DunlapJaques13-Brulle.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">thanking Robert Brulle<\/a> for input into their paper. Who is the source for this 2013 paper about the idea of \u2018industry manufacturing doubt?\u2019 <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/Dunlap-Jacques-DMichaels-Oreskes.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">David Michaels and Naomi Oreskes<\/a>. Now, while their individual books don\u2019t cite him directly, each \u2014 <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DMichaels-Gelb.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Michaels<\/a> (full text <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanthinker.com\/articles\/2015\/10\/those_scientists_who_want_to_use_rico_to_prosecute_agw_deniers_have_a_big_problem.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>) and <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Oreskes07ppt.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Oreskes<\/a> \u2014 rely on Ross Gelbspan as someone who exposed the \u2018corruption\u2019 of skeptic climate scientists.<\/p>\n<p>It doesn\u2019t end there. Back in 2008 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1080\/09644010802055576#aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cudGFuZGZvbmxpbmUuY29tL2RvaS9wZGYvMTAuMTA4MC8wOTY0NDAxMDgwMjA1NTU3Nj9uZWVkQWNjZXNzPXRydWVAQEAw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">in another paper<\/a>, these same two sociologists, <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DunlapJaques08.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dunlap &amp; Jacques<\/a>, did the same thing: They mentioned Dr Idso\u2019s book <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DunlapJaques08-Sherwood.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">and its publication date<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DunlapJaques08-Brulle.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">they thanked Brulle<\/a>. In this older paper, however, they were <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DunlapJaques08-Gelb.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a little more direct<\/a> for their citation insinuations about corporate-corrupted skeptic climate scientists. They even went so far as to note Gelbspan\u2019s supposed role in illustrating the unnecessary effort to give fair media balance to skeptic scientists \u2026. <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/DunlapJaques08-Brulle-Gelb.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><em>and<\/em><\/strong> Brulle\u2019s<\/a>. The irony there is the Brulle citation is for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ask-force.org\/web\/Global-Warming\/Dispensa-Medias-Social-Construction-Issues-2003.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">his 2003 paper<\/a> which \u2026\u2026\u2026\u2026\u2026\u2026. gets no farther <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/BrulleDispensa03-Gelb.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">than the first page<\/a> without citing Gelbspan\u2019s June 2000 industry corruption <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Gelb-Waterloo.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">accusation presentation<\/a>. Gelbspan\u2019s presentation not only repeated <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/?p=7477\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the worthless core \u2018evidence\u2019<\/a> that\u2019s long been used to indict skeptic climate scientists of industry-paid corruption, it also <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Gelb-Waterloo-Scies-reposit.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">repeated three scientist names<\/a> originating from <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/THio-pg-34.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the 1997 version<\/a> of his \u201cThe Heat is On\u201d book.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Not<\/em><\/strong> the 1998 paperback version where Gelbspan made the <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/?p=223\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">unexplained name swap<\/a> of \u2026\u2026. Sherwood Idso.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/THiOpg34Pback.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Was there a reference earlier than the 2008 Dunlap &amp; Jacques paper to Dr Idso\u2019s 1982 book? Yes, Spencer Weart\u2019s 2007 <a href=\"https:\/\/history.aip.org\/exhibits\/climate\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">supplement website<\/a> pages (<a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Weart-supplement.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">for his own short book<\/a>), where Idso\u2019s book is described as \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Weart-Sherwood.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">friendly<\/a>\u201d \u2026.. and where Ross Gelbspan is seen further down the page as someone who <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Weart-Gelb-media.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">castigates the media<\/a> for the unnecessary effort to give fair media balance to skeptic scientists. Weart\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Weart-Boykoffs.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">end note<\/a> for that latter item includes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eci.ox.ac.uk\/publications\/downloads\/boykoff04-gec.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a 2004 paper<\/a> by the Boykoff brothers \u2026. who essentially admit the whole premise of their paper is based on <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Boykoffs-Gelb.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Gelbspan\u2019s assertion<\/a> about unnecessary media balance, while <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Boykoffs-Gelb2.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">citing his role<\/a><strong>*<\/strong> in \u2018exposing crooked skeptic scientists,\u2019 and <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Boykoffs-Gelb-thank.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">thanking him for his input<\/a>. ( <strong>*<\/strong> the other Jeremy Leggett book citation there is actually <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/?p=1204\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">an <em>enormous<\/em> problem<\/a> for Gelbspan\u2019s credibility)<\/p>\n<p>See the pattern developing here? My January 16, 2014 post \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/?p=1237\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Robert \u2018dark money\u2019 Brulle &amp; Other \u2018Skeptic-Trashing Environmental Sociologists\u2019<\/a>\u201d details many of the names seen as citations in the Dunlap &amp; Jacques papers, except Peter Jacques himself. So, to illustrate how silly the citation cascade is when it comes to the \u2018crooked skeptics\u2019 accusation always spiraling back to one source, witness this passage <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Jaques-Mooney-Gelb.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">from Jacques&#8217; 2009 book<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u2026 there has been multiple corroborated layers of material connections brought to the fore by investigative journalists from different perspectives surrounding climate denial, conservative state officials, think tanks and industrial networks (Gelbspan, 2004, Mooney, 2005\u2026.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Mooney\u2019s 2005 \u201cSome Like It Hot\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.motherjones.com\/environment\/2005\/05\/some-it-hot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mother Jones article<\/a> doesn\u2019t name Gelbspan as the source for the accusation (he instead appears in <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20090312090625\/https:\/\/www.motherjones.com\/politics\/2005\/05\/snowed\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">an online side note piece<\/a> about the unnecessary effort to give fair media balance to skeptic scientists, which includes <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/GelbSnowedMJones-reposit-3.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a <strong><em>key item<\/em><\/strong><\/a>), but one of its <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/MJones-40-orgs-1024x813.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">key assertions<\/a> was one that Al Gore <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=I1Do9vut6tc&amp;t=1748s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">later repeated<\/a>, while adding a tie-in straight to Gelbspan:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Exxon Mobil has funded 40 different front groups that have all been a part of a strategic persuasion campaign to, in their own words \u2018<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">reposition global warming as theory rather than fact<\/span>.\u2019<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Meanwhile, Mooney\u2019s 2005 &#8220;Republican War on Science&#8221; book <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/Mooney-Gelb-1024x453.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">does cite Gelbspan<\/a>, as does the old <em>Boston Globe<\/em> newspaper reference within Mooney\u2019s book citation.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/BGlobe-Gelb.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As these sociologists (none of whom having climate science expertise to back their premise about \u2018settled climate science\u2019) inadvertently demonstrate, all paths lead to Ross Gelbspan \u2014 whether it was a month ago or a decade ago \u2014 when it comes to the premise that \u2018multiple <a href=\"http:\/\/gelbspanfiles.com\/?p=2907\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">corroborated layers of material connections<\/a>\u2019 confirm skeptic climate scientists are \u2018industry-corrupted.\u2019 Word to the wise who are corporate investigators, congressional investigators, or unbiased objective reporters: where does the path lead back, once you get past Gelbspan?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You can either accept what reporters say without question, or you can look more deeply into what they say to see if it all lines up in a nice straight problem-free line, or if it ultimately takes on the unavoidable &hellip; 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